Wojskowa Akademia Techniczna
Wydział Bezpieczeństwa, Logistyki i Zarządzania
Instytut Logistyki
A - Research concept and design; B - Collection and/or assembly of data; C - Data analysis and interpretation; D - Writing the article; E - Critical revision of the article; F - Final approval of article
Performing forecasting of needs in the subject of research for 2021. The subject of the research is an institution operating in the territory of the Republic of Poland. The subject of the research are planned needs and expenses incurred in the food department in PLN. By comparing the planned needs and the expenses incurred to cover them, their imbalance was observed. This became the basis for further research in terms of forecasting expenses in order to identify future needs. The selection of forecasting methods was preceded by the performance of multidimensional comparative analyzes and their evaluation. The research began with the search for regularities in the form of trends and seasonality by analyzing and assessing the time series of food department expenses. The analyzes revealed the lack of clear regularities in the form of the trend and seasonality governing the time series of expenses in the food department from January 2014 to November 2020. There was only a slight downward trend and weak / not clearly visible seasonality on a monthly basis. Practical implications: The detection of regularities made it possible to select methods for forecasting expenses in the food department for the future, which include: Holt ‒ Winters and the naive method. A comparative analysis of two forecasting methods allows for the selection of the best one. The practical implication is that future needs can be calculated by forecasting incurred expenses. Forecasting models available in the literature can / should be used to determine future forecasts. Planning needs by forecasting expenses incurred to secure them in dynamic terms.
PEER REVIEW INFORMATION
Article has been screened for originality
REFERENCES(14)
1.
BENTKOWSKA-SENATOR, K., KORDEL, Z., WAŚKIEWICZ, J., (2011). Koszty w transporcie samochodowym. Warszawa: Instytut Transportu Samochodowego, s. 21.
SATOMI, E. ET AL. (2020). Alocação justa de recuros de saúde escassos diante da pandemia de COVID-19 Considerações éticas. Einstein, São Paulo, 18(2), 1-5, DOI: 10.31744 / einstein_journal / 2020AE5775.
ZHU, N., ZHANG, D., WANG, W., LI, X., YANG, B., SONG, J. ET AL., (2020). A Novel Coronavirus from Patients with Pneumonia in China. New England Journal of Medicine.
We process personal data collected when visiting the website. The function of obtaining information about users and their behavior is carried out by voluntarily entered information in forms and saving cookies in end devices. Data, including cookies, are used to provide services, improve the user experience and to analyze the traffic in accordance with the Privacy policy. Data are also collected and processed by Google Analytics tool (more).
You can change cookies settings in your browser. Restricted use of cookies in the browser configuration may affect some functionalities of the website.